Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
18.26% (![]() | 22.71% (![]() | 59.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.04% (![]() | 48.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.95% (![]() | 71.04% (![]() |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.31% (![]() | 40.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.72% (![]() | 77.28% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% (![]() | 16.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.23% (![]() | 45.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.94% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.26% | 1-1 @ 10.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.91% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 59.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |