Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 2
Fiorentina

Basic (45'), Candreva (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kouame (80'), Ikone (90+5')
Lopez (18'), Sottil (45'), Ranieri (47'), Martinez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina

No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Fiorentina
18.73% ( 0.72)	22.54% ( 0.09)	58.74% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

0.68)

47.57% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

0.62)

69.77% (

-0.62)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65% (

1.22)

39.35% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.95% (

1.12)

76.05% (

-1.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

-0.04)

15.86% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.94% (

-0.07)

45.07% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 18.73%

Fiorentina 58.74%

Draw 22.53%

Salernitana	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.73%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.53%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.74%