MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:29:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Pulisic (6'), Giroud (20'), Leao (57')
Chukwueze (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Blin (34')
Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce

 Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLecce
66.59% (0.25399999999999 0.25) 20.2% (-0.099 -0.1) 13.21% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)47.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)69.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)13.43% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.198 0.2)40.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.26% (-0.2 -0.2)46.74% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.71% (-0.151 -0.15)82.29% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.58%
    Lecce 13.21%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.65% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan
91.4%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
1.9%
105
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-0
Lecce
Leao (40', 74')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Lecce
1-4
AC Milan
> Preview
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!