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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Pulisic (6'), Giroud (20'), Leao (57')
Chukwueze (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Blin (34')
Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce

Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLecce
66.59% (0.25399999999999 0.25) 20.2% (-0.099 -0.1) 13.21% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)47.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)69.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)13.43% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.198 0.2)40.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.26% (-0.2 -0.2)46.74% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.71% (-0.151 -0.15)82.29% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.58%
    Lecce 13.21%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.65% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan
91.4%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
1.9%
105
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-0
Lecce
Leao (40', 74')
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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