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Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Milan logo

Lecce
2 - 2
AC Milan

Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Maleh (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
Calabria (66'), Bennacer (85')

Preview: Lecce vs. AC Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After slipping up twice in a matter of days, AC Milan aim to end the first half of their Scudetto defence with a win on Saturday, as they visit Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare.

The champions fumbled two points in stoppage time last week, before crashing out of the Coppa Italia on Wednesday; meanwhile, their hosts have picked up four points since the winter break to sit 11th in the Serie A standings.


Match preview

AC Milan coach Stefano Pioli reacts on January 8, 2023© Reuters

Occupying third place in the table ahead of the 18th match of their league campaign - marking its midway point - Milan's late collapse at home to Roma last Sunday allowed old foes Juventus to sneak in and steal second spot.

Both clubs trail seven points behind leaders Napoli, after the Rossoneri endured a dismal final five minutes against Jose Mourinho's men, during which they conceded twice to wipe out an advantage earned by earlier strikes from Pierre Kalulu and Tommaso Pobega.

Then, having played with a one-man advantage for almost an hour of their midweek defeat to Torino, they were stung deep into extra time and made their latest painful exit from the Coppa Italia: Milan have not lifted the trophy now for some 20 years.

Nonetheless, Stefano Pioli's side will meet current cup holders Inter in next week's Supercoppa Italiana, to be played in Saudi Arabia, and are also through to the Champions League's last 16, where they tackle Tottenham Hotspur next month.

First, though, they travel south to face Lecce on Saturday, when they will seek to make up ground lost to both Napoli and Juve, who clash at Stadio Maradona a day earlier.

Milan are unbeaten in their last eight league meetings with their Puglian counterparts - winning five times and scoring 20 goals in the process - so precedent is certainly on their side, if not current form.

Lecce boss Marco Baroni on August 13, 2022© Reuters

In all, Lecce have won only two of their 32 top-flight fixtures against Milan - and none since 2006 - but recent events have led some to suggest they could push the Scudetto holders all the way this weekend.

Marco Baroni has steered the Giallorossi to a five-game unbeaten run either side of the World Cup break, and they could now go six-in-a-row in Serie A for the first time since 2012.

Remarkably, the last time Lecce kept clean sheets in successive Serie A matches came back in that year too, but conceding just four goals in their last six competitive games suggests that Baroni's men could now shut out their illustrious visitors.

A rain-soaked 0-0 draw at Spezia last week pulled them 10 points clear of the relegation zone halfway through their latest comeback campaign, and the Serie B champions are on course to extend their stay among Calcio's elite into next season.

Making the most of home advantage could prove crucial in that regard, and as Lecce have won their last two matches at Via del Mare, recording a third straight top-flight win there for the first time in 19 years is perhaps not out of the question.

Lecce Serie A form:

AC Milan Serie A form:


AC Milan form (all competitions):



Team News

Sandro Tonali in action for AC Milan on September 14, 2022© Reuters

While influential midfielder Sandro Tonali is ruled out of Saturday's game by a suspension resulting from accumulated yellow cards, Milan could have at least two players removed from their long injury list this weekend.

Divock Origi has been sidelined with a muscular problem but is now back in full training, while veteran defender Simon Kjaer may be in contention too.

However, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Rade Krunic, Ante Rebic and first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan all remain unavailable to Stefano Pioli, who should recall Olivier Giroud up front following another ineffective showing from Charles De Ketelaere in midweek.

Ismael Bennacer and Theo Hernandez are among several others set to be brought back in, as the Rossoneri revert to a more familiar 4-2-3-1 formation.

Lecce boss Marco Baroni, meanwhile, will be glad to see his captain Morten Hjulmand returning from suspension, and either Alexis Blin or newcomer Youssef Maleh will make way for the Danish midfielder.

Baroni is still without defensive trio Mert Cetin, Kastriot Dermaku and Marin Pongracic due to injury, so the hosts' back four should remain unchanged.

Currently on loan from Milan, young forward Lorenzo Colombo should start up front, having been directly involved in more league goals than any other Giallorossi player this season - four of his own and two assists.

Lecce possible starting lineup:
Falcone; Gendrey, Baschirotto, Umtiti, Gallo; Blin, Hjulmand, Gonzalez; Strefezza, Colombo, Di Francesco

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Tatarusanu; Calabria, Tomori, Kalulu, Hernandez; Bennacer, Pobega; Saelemaekers, Diaz, Leao; Giroud


SM words green background

We say: Lecce 0-2 AC Milan

Curiously, Lecce are one of two sides yet to score during the first 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Milan have netted seven times in the same period (the joint-most in Italy's top flight). The hosts cannot afford a slow start on Saturday, though, as their visitors will be fired up by recent setbacks and are likely to come out all guns blazing.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Game History

How you voted: Lecce vs AC Milan

Lecce
15.8%
Draw
10.5%
AC Milan
73.7%
95
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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