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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)
Lukaku (5'), Kvaratskhelia (43')
Olivera (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli

Although Napoli look a more disciplined side than hit-and-miss Milan, the Rossoneri are particularly tough to beat on home turf. Despite the attacking riches available to both coaches, this contest could be tense and low-scoring, with a share of the spoils the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
42.27% (-0.174 -0.17) 24.22% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 33.51% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)42.55% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.242 -0.24)64.95% (0.246 0.25)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)20.3% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-0.287 -0.29)52.67% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)59.35% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.27%
    Napoli 33.51%
    Draw 24.22%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
41.2%
Draw
27.9%
Napoli
30.9%
233
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Hernandez (25')
Hernandez (90+6')

Jesus (85')
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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