Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan0 - 2Napoli
FT(HT: 0-2)
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli
Although Napoli look a more disciplined side than hit-and-miss Milan, the Rossoneri are particularly tough to beat on home turf. Despite the attacking riches available to both coaches, this contest could be tense and low-scoring, with a share of the spoils the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.27% ( -0.17) | 24.22% ( 0.06) | 33.51% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.24) | 42.55% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.24) | 64.95% ( 0.25) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.18) | 20.3% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.29) | 52.67% ( 0.29) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.05) | 24.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.65% ( -0.07) | 59.35% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 42.27%
Napoli 33.51%
Draw 24.22%
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli
AC Milan
41.2%Draw
27.9%Napoli
30.9%233
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
