Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.27% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 33.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% (![]() | 42.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% (![]() | 64.95% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% (![]() | 20.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.33% (![]() | 52.67% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% (![]() | 24.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% (![]() | 59.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 11.19% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |