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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)
Lukaku (5'), Kvaratskhelia (43')
Olivera (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli

Although Napoli look a more disciplined side than hit-and-miss Milan, the Rossoneri are particularly tough to beat on home turf. Despite the attacking riches available to both coaches, this contest could be tense and low-scoring, with a share of the spoils the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
42.27% (-0.174 -0.17) 24.22% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 33.51% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)42.55% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (-0.242 -0.24)64.95% (0.246 0.25)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)20.3% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-0.287 -0.29)52.67% (0.28899999999999 0.29)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)59.35% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.27%
    Napoli 33.51%
    Draw 24.22%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
41.2%
Draw
27.9%
Napoli
30.9%
233
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Hernandez (25')
Hernandez (90+6')

Jesus (85')
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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