Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
24.72% ( -0.59) | 23.21% ( 0.06) | 52.06% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.34% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( -0.84) | 43.28% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.31% ( -0.84) | 65.68% ( 0.83) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.93) | 31.19% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -1.09) | 67.53% ( 1.08) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.34% ( -0.13) | 16.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.48% ( -0.22) | 46.52% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.72% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 52.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |