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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sassuolo logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Sassuolo

Sottil (17'), Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (58', 66'), Barak (62')
Martinez (32'), Comuzzo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thorstvedt (57')
Ruan (13'), Thorstvedt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo

While Sassuolo's defence is particularly suspect on the road, their hosts have the disappointment of a cup exit to deal with, plus a European semi-final on the radar; Fiorentina's lack of focus could help the Neroverdi pick up a precious point in their fight to avoid the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
63.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.06% (0.0039999999999978 0) 16.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)63.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.18% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 63.67%
    Sassuolo 16.26%
    Draw 20.06%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.97%
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Fiorentina
75.9%
Draw
17.2%
Sassuolo
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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