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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Sassuolo logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Sassuolo

Sottil (17'), Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (58', 66'), Barak (62')
Martinez (32'), Comuzzo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thorstvedt (57')
Ruan (13'), Thorstvedt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sassuolo

While Sassuolo's defence is particularly suspect on the road, their hosts have the disappointment of a cup exit to deal with, plus a European semi-final on the radar; Fiorentina's lack of focus could help the Neroverdi pick up a precious point in their fight to avoid the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
63.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.06% (0.0039999999999978 0) 16.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)63.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.18% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 63.67%
    Sassuolo 16.26%
    Draw 20.06%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.97%
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

Fiorentina
75.9%
Draw
17.2%
Sassuolo
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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