Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
56.75% ( -0.39) | 22.78% ( 0.15) | 20.47% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% ( -0.34) | 46.19% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% ( -0.32) | 68.49% ( 0.32) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( -0.25) | 16.06% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( -0.46) | 45.42% ( 0.46) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% ( 0.05) | 36.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% ( 0.05) | 73.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.74% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
2 | Inter Milan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Udinese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
6 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
10 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Como | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
16 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 5 |
18 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
20 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
> Serie A Full Table |