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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Torino logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Torino

Morata (89'), Okafor (90+5')
Jovic (57'), Morata (90'), Saelemaekers (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thiaw (30' og.), Zapata (68')
Ricci (45+3'), Vojvoda (45+2'), Tameze (90'), Dembele (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Torino

With a few tactical tweaks, Milan could have the squad to make a sustained title challenge, and they are set to continue their San Siro dominance of Torino. Several forward options - including new boy Alvaro Morata and last summer's signings Luka Jovic and Samu Chukwueze - can make an impact, while finding the net is often more of a challenge for the Granata. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
56.75% (-0.394 -0.39) 22.78% (0.152 0.15) 20.47% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (-0.337 -0.34)46.19% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (-0.32 -0.32)68.49% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.253 -0.25)16.06% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.462 -0.46)45.42% (0.459 0.46)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)36.69% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.053999999999998 0.05)73.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.74%
    Torino 20.47%
    Draw 22.78%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.74%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.092 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.47%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan
94.0%
Draw
5.0%
Torino
1.0%
100
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Torino
3-1
AC Milan
Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Juventus7340101913
4Udinese74121010013
5AC Milan6321147711
6Torino73221211111
7Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
8Empoli624052310
9Lazio63121210210
10Roma62317439
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
12Como72231014-48
13Fiorentina61417707
14Bologna614179-27
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma61231012-25
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
20Monza603348-43


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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