Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
31.5% ( 0.25) | 25.29% | 43.21% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.93% ( 0.09) | 48.07% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% ( 0.08) | 70.23% ( -0.08) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 0.21) | 28.71% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 0.26) | 64.53% ( -0.27) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.8% ( -0.08) | 22.2% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.39% ( -0.12) | 55.61% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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