Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.