MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 20:46:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Venezia
Serie B | 2nd Leg
Jun 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Cremonese

Venezia
1 - 0
Cremonese

Gytkjaer (24')
Vazquez (28'), Idzes (58'), Candela (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sverko (28'), Sernicola (79'), Pickel (84'), Ravanelli (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B playoff final between Venezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Venezia
Thursday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Venezia
Thursday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Venezia 2-1 Cremonese (Venezia win 2-1 on aggregate)

Needing only a draw to reach Serie A, Venezia can afford to lure Cremonese out and strike clinically on the counter. While it is sure to be a closely-fought encounter, the hosts have lost only three times at the Penzo this season and look a tough team to beat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Venezia.

Result
VeneziaDrawCremonese
39.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 25.62% (0.114 0.11) 34.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-0.407 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.518 -0.52)48.67% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.473 -0.47)70.78% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)24.2% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.365 -0.37)58.54% (0.363 0.36)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)26.99% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.379 -0.38)62.34% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 39.69%
    Cremonese 34.69%
    Draw 25.61%
VeneziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.69%

How you voted: Venezia vs Cremonese

Venezia
65.5%
Draw
17.2%
Cremonese
17.2%
29
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 7.30pm
Apr 26, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 35
Venezia
2-1
Cremonese
Gytkjaer (48'), Steinn Bjarkason (76')
Candela (20'), Busio (78')
Vazquez (24')
Castagnetti (11'), Vazquez (37'), Pickel (57')
Dec 9, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Cremonese
1-0
Venezia
Ravanelli (80')
Majer (34'), Castagnetti (85'), Bianchetti (90+4'), Pickel (90')
Antov (51')

Altare (36'), Dembele (90')
Feb 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 22
Venezia
3-1
Cremonese
Bianchetti (33' og.), Forte (79'), Johnsen (90+3')
Fiordilino (12'), Maleh (13'), Esposito (62')
Ciofani (90+1' pen.)
Bianchetti (24'), Zortea (28'), Bartolomei (61')
Oct 17, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 3
Cremonese
0-0
Venezia
Deli (22'), Strizzolo (73'), Terranova (81')
Capello (45+1'), Johnsen (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pisa6420127514
2SpeziaSpezia7340117413
3SassuoloSassuolo733187112
4Cremonese631285310
5Mantova631277010
6BariBari72329729
7Brescia63038629
8SudtirolSudtirol63039909
9Reggiana72327709
10Modena62229728
11Cesena62228718
12Palermo62225508
13Cittadella722356-18
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia622257-28
15Salernitana6213910-17
16CatanzaroCatanzaro613256-16
17FrosinoneFrosinone7133613-76
18Cosenza CalcioCosenza72327705
19Sampdoria612368-25
20Carrarese7115612-64


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