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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Eryaman Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
2 - 0
Karagumruk

Kaan Guneren (24'), Macheda (61')
Kitsiou (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dursun (81'), Eysseric (82'), Bertolacci (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, January 20 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Istanbul
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Ankaragucu have found some form over recent weeks and will be confident of recording a third-straight home success on Wednesday night against a Super Lig struggler. Fatih have lost back-to-back away matches in January without finding the net, and we are predicting that theme will continue for the Black and Reds in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.34% (-0.377 -0.38) 25.09% (0.118 0.12) 25.56% (0.257 0.26)
Both teams to score 52.08% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (-0.282 -0.28)50.64% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.251 -0.25)72.54% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.271 -0.27)20.54% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.43 -0.43)53.04% (0.428 0.43)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (0.063000000000002 0.06)34.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.068000000000001 0.07)71.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 49.34%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.56%
    Draw 25.09%
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.34%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.56%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Karagumruk

Ankaragucu
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Karagumruk
1-1
Ankaragucu
Rohden (44')
Ugur (80')
Bekiroglu (57')
Mujakic (55')
Feb 4, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 23
Ankaragucu
0-2
Karagumruk
Diagne (45+1'), Borini (65' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Karagumruk
4-1
Ankaragucu
Dursun (2'), Borini (9', 48'), Diagne (83' pen.)
Musa (90+2'), Shukurov (90+3')
Baniya (53' og.)
Pepe (45+6'), Ceylan (61'), Osmanoglu (82')
Mar 7, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Karagumruk
0-1
Ankaragucu

Erdinc (85')
Potuk (55')
Friedrich (90+4')
Nov 8, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 8
Ankaragucu
2-2
Karagumruk
Borven (27' pen.), Gural (90+1')
Bolingi (29'), Sarlija (47'), Adzic (52'), Cankaya (59'), Pazdan (80')
Sobiech (15'), Roco (35')
Zukanovic (25'), Ndao (27')
rhs 2.0
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