MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:20:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Massanga (41', 90+5'), Strandberg (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lasagna (86')
Ceccherini (48'), Keles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)19.47% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.071999999999996 0.07)51.33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.39% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.88%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.59%
    Draw 24.52%
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Karagumruk

Hatayspor
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Karagumruk
0-0
Hatayspor
Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray15132042182441
2Fenerbahce15112239142535
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK157442821725
6BesiktasBesiktas157442417725
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor156362026-621
9KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
11KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
12GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
13SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-235


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