MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:56:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Massanga (41', 90+5'), Strandberg (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lasagna (86')
Ceccherini (48'), Keles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)19.47% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.071999999999996 0.07)51.33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.39% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.88%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.59%
    Draw 24.52%
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Karagumruk

Hatayspor
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Karagumruk
0-0
Hatayspor
Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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