Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 1
Benfica

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Salzburg 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

With two of the best attacks in the league on display, this could end up being a goal fest. Braga have been scoring for fun in recent weeks, and while Benfica's league form has been average since the international break, they tend to show up in this fixture. We are expecting a very entertaining match here but feel that the hosts may just outscore The Eagles in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Benfica
37.99% ( 2.68)	23.61% ( -0.81)	38.4% ( -1.86)

Both teams to score 63% (

3.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

4.19)

38.89% (

-4.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79% (

4.28)

61.21% (

-4.28)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27% (

3.28)

20.72% (

-3.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66% (

4.91)

53.34% (

-4.91)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

0.93)

20.53% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

1.45)

53.03% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Braga 37.99%

Benfica 38.4%

Draw 23.6%

Braga	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.54) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.51) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.99%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.9) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -1.19) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.77) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.4%