MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:03:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Benfica

Braga
0 - 1
Benfica


Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Salzburg 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 3-2 Benfica

 With two of the best attacks in the league on display, this could end up being a goal fest. Braga have been scoring for fun in recent weeks, and while Benfica's league form has been average since the international break, they tend to show up in this fixture. We are expecting a very entertaining match here but feel that the hosts may just outscore The Eagles in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
37.99% (2.675 2.68) 23.61% (-0.811 -0.81) 38.4% (-1.863 -1.86)
Both teams to score 63% (3.309 3.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (4.192 4.19)38.89% (-4.19 -4.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79% (4.276 4.28)61.21% (-4.275 -4.28)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (3.276 3.28)20.72% (-3.275 -3.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (4.911 4.91)53.34% (-4.909 -4.91)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.929 0.93)20.53% (-0.928 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (1.452 1.45)53.03% (-1.453 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Braga 37.99%
    Benfica 38.4%
    Draw 23.6%
BragaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.271 0.27)
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.654 -0.65)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.537 0.54)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.27 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.352 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.31 0.31)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.71 -0.71)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.394 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.896 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.313 0.31)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-1.19 -1.19)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.766 -0.77)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.3 0.3)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.154 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
56.7%
Draw
10.0%
Benfica
33.3%
30
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Silva (67')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
 Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Elmusrati (36')
Guedes (15')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!