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Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Varzim Sport Club
Benfica

Varzim
0 - 2
Benfica


Goncalves (50'), Barbosa (62'), Teixeira (70'), Tovar (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grimaldo (4'), Fernandez (78')
Fernandez (84')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Varzim and Benfica.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Varzim 1-0 Sao Joao Ver
Tuesday, November 8 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Varzim had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Varzim win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
VarzimDrawBenfica
8.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 17.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 74.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 38.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Varzim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)88.95%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)11.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Varzim 8.16%
    Benfica 74.74%
    Draw 17.09%
VarzimDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 3.61%
2-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 8.16%
1-1 @ 7.89%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.09%
0-2 @ 15.26%
0-1 @ 13.97%
0-3 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 6.28%
0-4 @ 6.07%
1-4 @ 3.43%
0-5 @ 2.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-6 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 74.74%

How you voted: Varzim vs Benfica

Varzim
9.5%
Draw
14.3%
Benfica
76.2%
21
rhs 2.0
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