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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Newtown

Lloyd (63' pen.)
Mendes (44'), Thomas (45+2'), Thomas (57'), Hill (65'), John Williams (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lock (15'), Evans (59')
Ismail (38'), Roberts (45+2'), Oswell (62')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Flint Town
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
44.59% (0.164 0.16) 24.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 30.97% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.146 -0.15)44.54% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.139 -0.14)66.91% (0.145 0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)52.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)27.3% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.242 -0.24)62.75% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.59%
    Newtown AFC 30.97%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-4
Caernarfon

Jones (24'), Owen (40')
Mooney (6'), Davies (69'), Clarke (89'), Sutton (90+4' og.)
Sutton (22'), Sharp (36'), Downey (43'), Mendes (83')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
5-0
Caernarfon
Williams (35', 54'), Hughes (64'), Ismail (77' pen.), Robles (90+4')
Sutton (41')

Mooney (90+3')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Gosset (37')

Sutton (90+5')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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