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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Newtown

Lloyd (63' pen.)
Mendes (44'), Thomas (45+2'), Thomas (57'), Hill (65'), John Williams (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lock (15'), Evans (59')
Ismail (38'), Roberts (45+2'), Oswell (62')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-4 Flint Town
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
44.59% (0.164 0.16) 24.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 30.97% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.146 -0.15)44.54% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.139 -0.14)66.91% (0.145 0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)52.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)27.3% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.242 -0.24)62.75% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.59%
    Newtown AFC 30.97%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-4
Caernarfon

Jones (24'), Owen (40')
Mooney (6'), Davies (69'), Clarke (89'), Sutton (90+4' og.)
Sutton (22'), Sharp (36'), Downey (43'), Mendes (83')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
5-0
Caernarfon
Williams (35', 54'), Hughes (64'), Ismail (77' pen.), Robles (90+4')
Sutton (41')

Mooney (90+3')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Gosset (37')

Sutton (90+5')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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