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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 6
New Saints

Sutton (74')
Roberts (23'), Evans (36'), Hughes (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davies (10'), Bradley (40', 69'), Oteh (63'), McManus (81'), Bodenham (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
18.7% (-0.305 -0.31) 19.85% (-0.127 -0.13) 61.46% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.64% (0.114 0.11)35.36% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (0.125 0.13)57.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.244 -0.24)32.18% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.278 -0.28)68.67% (0.286 0.29)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (0.154 0.15)11.14% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43% (0.32599999999999 0.33)35.58% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.7%
    The New Saints 61.46%
    Draw 19.85%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 18.7%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.16% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.93% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.73% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.037 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 61.46%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-1
New Saints

Hughes (5'), Roberts (23'), Sears (57'), Robles (81'), Mills-Evans (90')
Jones (84')
Mills-Evans (33' og.)
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
3-0
Newtown
Clark (8'), McManus (32' pen., 60')

Robles (28'), Roberts (30'), Sutton (64')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
3-1
Newtown
Young (38'), Williams (60'), McManus (84')
Oswell (47')
Hughes (54'), Hughes (54'), Jones (65')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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