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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Evans (28'), Arnison (76'), Flint (78'), Owen (81')
Evans (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (58')
Scotcher (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.56% (-0.117 -0.12) 24.25% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.19% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 59.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)43.01% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.123 -0.12)60.43% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.051000000000002 0.05)52.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 32.56%
    Haverfordwest County 43.19%
    Draw 24.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.19%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-1
Aberystwyth

Rees (54'), (55'), Wilson (90+4')
Bradford (82')
Davies (55'), Corbisiero (61'), Davies (63')
Mar 15, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-6
Haverfordwest

Bradford (49'), Jones (74'), Veale (88'), Evans (90+3')
Jenkins (79')
Touray Sisay (16', 46', 62'), Davies (80' pen.), Shepherd (84'), Jones (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Aberystwyth

Rees (61'), Lewis (63'), Shepherd (65')

Rimmer (42'), Franklin (42'), Thorn (90'), Thorn (90')
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-0
Haverfordwest
Phillips (65'), Jones (74' pen.)
Thorn (19'), Rimmer (67'), Wynne (88')

Watts (62')
Jones (73')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
Haverfordwest
Jones (8'), Reed (43' pen.)
Kearney (28'), Bradford (30'), Williams (56')
Wilson (32'), Williams (45')
Wilson (27'), Tancock (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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