Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Flint Town
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Haverfordwest
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
44.82% ( -0.58) | 25.45% ( -0.05) | 29.73% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
