Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Haverfordwest1 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Newtown
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
49.2% ( -0.27) | 23.92% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( 0.06) | 44.62% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( 0.05) | 66.99% ( -0.05) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.76% ( -0.08) | 18.24% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.73% ( -0.14) | 49.27% ( 0.14) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.79% ( 0.21) | 30.21% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.63% ( 0.25) | 66.37% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Haverfordwest County 49.2%
Caernarfon Town 26.88%
Draw 23.92%
Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.88% |
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-18 06:47:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 61 | 26 | 35 | 51 |
2 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 50 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 32 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 21 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 20 |
11 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 14 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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