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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Aris (29'), Hesden (84')
Roberts (41'), Walker (80'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (37'), Humphreys (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Newtown
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
38.19% (0.57700000000001 0.58) 25.61% (-0.26 -0.26) 36.2% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.882 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (1.14 1.14)48.45% (-1.137 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (1.033 1.03)70.58% (-1.031 -1.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.84100000000001 0.84)24.89% (-0.838 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (1.156 1.16)59.51% (-1.152 -1.15)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.354 0.35)26% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.475 0.48)61.03% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 38.19%
    Haverfordwest County 36.2%
    Draw 25.6%
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
2-3
Newtown
Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2'), Wharton (90+2')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (76' pen.)
Walker (90+1')
Williams (9')
Scotcher (33'), Idzi (63')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Newtown
Touray Sisay (26')
Wilson (53'), Rees (66'), Lewis (83')

Hughes (60')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Newtown
Fawcett (18')
Jones (42'), Shepherd (63'), Wilson (71')
Ofori (2'), Sutton (26')
Williams (77')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Newtown
5-1
Haverfordwest
Ofori (28'), Mwandwe (29', 53'), Sutton (45'), Evans (85')
C (45+2')
Shepherd (61')
Shepherd (41'), A (45+2'), K (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148


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