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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Haverfordwest

Aris (29'), Hesden (84')
Roberts (41'), Walker (80'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (37'), Humphreys (69')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Newtown
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
38.19% (0.57700000000001 0.58) 25.61% (-0.26 -0.26) 36.2% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.882 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (1.14 1.14)48.45% (-1.137 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (1.033 1.03)70.58% (-1.031 -1.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.84100000000001 0.84)24.89% (-0.838 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (1.156 1.16)59.51% (-1.152 -1.15)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.354 0.35)26% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.475 0.48)61.03% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 38.19%
    Haverfordwest County 36.2%
    Draw 25.6%
Newtown AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
2-3
Newtown
Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2'), Wharton (90+2')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (76' pen.)
Walker (90+1')
Williams (9')
Scotcher (33'), Idzi (63')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Newtown
Touray Sisay (26')
Wilson (53'), Rees (66'), Lewis (83')

Hughes (60')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Newtown
Fawcett (18')
Jones (42'), Shepherd (63'), Wilson (71')
Ofori (2'), Sutton (26')
Williams (77')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Newtown
5-1
Haverfordwest
Ofori (28'), Mwandwe (29', 53'), Sutton (45'), Evans (85')
C (45+2')
Shepherd (61')
Shepherd (41'), A (45+2'), K (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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