Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth2 - 4Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-4 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
39.44% ( 0.03) | 24.38% ( -0.04) | 36.18% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.94% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( 0.2) | 42.81% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( 0.2) | 65.21% ( -0.2) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.1) | 21.74% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.08% ( 0.16) | 54.92% ( -0.16) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% ( 0.1) | 23.41% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% ( 0.14) | 57.4% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 39.44%
Caernarfon Town 36.18%
Draw 24.38%
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.18% |
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-07 19:38:41
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 34 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 30 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 11 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 7 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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