MX23RW : Friday, January 3 04:16:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Caernarfon

Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-4 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
39.44% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.38% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 36.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (0.202 0.2)42.81% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (0.201 0.2)65.21% (-0.2 -0.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.104 0.1)21.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.157 0.16)54.92% (-0.156 -0.16)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.143 0.14)57.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 39.44%
    Caernarfon Town 36.18%
    Draw 24.38%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints20150557253245
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont20135239152444
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest2010642391436
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay207583223926
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2054112242-2019
11Briton Ferry2053122639-1318
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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