Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.36%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 4.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.22%) and 0-4 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.