Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Chad 1-2 Comoros
Chad have been found wanting at both ends of the pitch across their three qualifiers, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here despite playing on home turf. We are backing Comoros to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Comoros |
25.32% ( -0.17) | 28.94% ( -0.06) | 45.74% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
