Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.
0.82) 
-0.05) 
