MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 18:17:16| >> :60:972:972:
Mali national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Mauritania national football team

Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania

Sagnan (9'), Bilal Toure (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Mali and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ivory Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Mali 1-1 Mauritania

This friendly might end in a draw. Both teams will likely play cautiously, avoiding defeat even if it's just an exhibition game. Mali's missing their star player in Bissouma which hurts their offensive power, while Mauritania have an incentive to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.94%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawMauritania
66.61% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18) 21.92% (0.107 0.11) 11.47% (0.077 0.08)
Both teams to score 36.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (-0.208 -0.21)57.76% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.165 -0.16)78.5% (0.17 0.17)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (-0.134 -0.13)16.73% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.241 -0.24)46.65% (0.247 0.25)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.6% (0.004999999999999 0)88.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mali 66.6%
    Mauritania 11.47%
    Draw 21.92%
MaliDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 16.71% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 11.47%

How you voted: Mali vs Mauritania

Mali
100%
Draw
0.0%
Mauritania
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Mauritania
1-0
Mali
Sy (53')
Aug 18, 2022 8pm
International Friendly
Mauritania
1-1
Mali
Aug 15, 2022 8pm
International Friendly
Mauritania
1-0
Mali
Jan 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Mali
2-0
Mauritania
Haidara (2'), Kone (49' pen.)
Bissouma (60')

Abeid (48'), Thiam (78')
Jun 24, 2019 9pm
Group Stage
Mali
4-1
Mauritania
Diaby (37'), Marega (45' pen.), Traore (55', 74')
Djenepo (31'), Fofana (71')
El Hacen (72' pen.)
N'Diaye (19'), Souleymane (79'), Diaw (84')
rhs 2.0
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