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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein national football team
Nations League | League D
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion
San Marino national football team

Liechtenstein
1 - 3
San Marino

Sele (40')
Wieser (49'), Traber (65'), Marxer (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lazzari (46'), Nanni (66' pen.), Golinucci (76')
Berardi (60'), Sensoli (71'), Battistini (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Liechtenstein and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liechtenstein

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, November 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 1-1 Gibraltar
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Liechtenstein 1-1 San Marino

 While San Marino did beat Liechtenstein recently, it is difficult to overlook their poor away record. However, Liechtenstein have struggled for wins in recent months, and it would not be surprising if they were held to a stalemate on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
LiechtensteinDrawSan Marino
38.56% (0.88 0.88) 24.75% (-0.029 -0.03) 36.69% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (0.112 0.11)44.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (0.109 0.11)66.88% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (0.508 0.51)22.93% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (0.741 0.74)56.7% (-0.736 -0.74)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)23.91% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.576 -0.58)58.12% (0.581 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Liechtenstein 38.56%
    San Marino 36.69%
    Draw 24.75%
LiechtensteinDrawSan Marino
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.69%

How you voted: Liechtenstein vs San Marino

Liechtenstein
57.4%
Draw
20.8%
San Marino
21.8%
101
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League D
San Marino
1-0
Liechtenstein
Sensoli (53')
Cevoli (51'), Battistini (87'), Rossi (90+7')

Hasler (10'), Wieser (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
League D
Liechtenstein
0-0
San Marino
Brandle (23'), Meier (81'), Hasler (82'), Yildiz (90+1'), Sele (90+3')
Lunadei (58'), Golinucci (63'), Hirsch (71'), Carlos Rossi (79'), Mularoni (89')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League D
San Marino
0-2
Liechtenstein

Ceccaroli (3'), Simoncini (27'), Golinucci (50'), Golinucci (52'), Berardi (66')
Hasler (3'), Frick (14')
Frick (42'), Wolfinger (90'), Frommelt (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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