Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw has a probability of 18.9% and a win for Perth Glory has a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Perth Glory win it is 2-1 (4.83%).
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
17.87% ( 0.24) | 18.94% ( 0.18) | 63.19% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.66% ( -0.44) | 32.34% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.04% ( -0.51) | 53.96% ( 0.51) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( -0.02) | 31.18% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.03) | 67.51% ( 0.02) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.18% ( -0.23) | 9.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.39% ( -0.52) | 32.61% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 17.87% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 30 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Macarthur | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 21 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 37 | -26 | 9 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 5 |
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