Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.06) 
