MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:39:44| >> :60:2219:2219:
Leverkusen logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Bayern logo

B. Leverkusen
vs.
Bayern

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Bayern Munich (Bayern win 4-1 on aggregate)

Bayer Leverkusen boast a formidable record at home, but they may struggle to make the most of their chances against Bayern without Wirtz. It would be surprising if the hosts managed to prevent the visitors from scoring, and it is difficult to see anything outcome other than Bayern advancing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Bayern Munich has a probability of 37.45% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win is 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.14%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
39.42% (-0.774 -0.77) 23.13% (-0.038 -0.04) 37.45% (0.811 0.81)
Both teams to score 64.84% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.5% (0.263 0.26)36.5% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.35% (0.288 0.29)58.64% (-0.289 -0.29)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)19.02% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41% (-0.384 -0.38)50.59% (0.383 0.38)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.50699999999999 0.51)19.93% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92% (0.811 0.81)52.08% (-0.813 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 39.42%
    Bayern Munich 37.45%
    Draw 23.12%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 39.42%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.79% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.45%

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between B. Leverkusen and Bayern?

Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Bayern Munich
Bayer Leverkusen
39.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bayern Munich
46.4%
28
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bayern
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Kane (9', 75' pen.), Musiala (54')
Laimer (39'), Goretzka (50')

Mukiele (39'), Tapsoba (73'), Tah (74')
Mukiele (62')
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Bayern
Hincapie (11'), Tapsoba (90+4')
Ito (39'), Pavlovic (53'), Upamecano (74')
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bayern
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')
Neuer (17')
Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
rhs 2.0
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