Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
52
We said: Derby County 1-2 Coventry City
A rejuvenated Derby side riding on cloud nine after Saturday's win should find some joy against a leaky Coventry backline, as Lampard's men have now failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven games. However, one positive result does not mean that the Rams' attacking woes have been solved overnight, and a far more ruthless Coventry outfit should overpower their hosts in the final third as Lampard makes a winning return to Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Coventry City |
28.82% ( 0.15) | 27.35% ( -0.04) | 43.82% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( 0.21) | 57.37% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( 0.16) | 78.19% ( -0.17) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.23) | 35.44% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.24) | 72.2% ( -0.24) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.03) | 26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.98% ( 0.05) | 61.02% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 28.82%
Coventry City 43.82%
Draw 27.35%
| Derby County | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.82% |
How you voted: Derby vs Coventry
Derby County
23.1%Draw
14.1%Coventry City
62.8%78
