Brasileiro | Gameweek 35
Dec 2, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
Gremio3 - 0Sao Paulo
We said: Gremio 0-0 Sao Paulo
Both teams have an illustrious past in Serie A, but neither have played up to their potential this year, nor have they shown a ton of consistency. Sao Paulo are the third-lowest scoring team in Serie A with only 28 goals, but Gremio have conceded the second-most, so we expect that both sides will have their chances, but neither are all that great at making those opportunities count. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 45.51% | 25.95% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% | 22.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.62% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% | 32.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 45.5%
Sao Paulo 28.55%
Draw 25.95%
| Gremio | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.55% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Sao Paulo
Gremio
41.0%Draw
25.6%Sao Paulo
33.3%39
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2021 1am
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Sao Paulo
0-0
Gremio
Form Guide
