Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras1 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bahia |
73.78% ( 0.33) | 16.77% ( -0.01) | 9.44% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.66% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.35% ( -0.97) | 42.65% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.94% ( -0.97) | 65.05% ( 0.97) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( -0.17) | 10.04% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.89% ( -0.4) | 33.11% ( 0.4) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.64% ( -1.3) | 50.36% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.09% ( -0.91) | 84.9% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 73.76%
Bahia 9.44%
Draw 16.77%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bahia |
| 2-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 73.76% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.77% | 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 9.44% |
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2021 1.30am
Jun 28, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Palmeiras
3-2
Bahia
Dec 12, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 25
Palmeiras
3-0
Bahia
Form Guide
