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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
82.3% (![]() | 11.64% (![]() | 6.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.13% (![]() | 29.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.96% (![]() | 51.04% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.63% (![]() | 5.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.92% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.28% (![]() | 49.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.54% (![]() | 84.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-0 @ 11.41% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 82.29% | 1-1 @ 5.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 11.64% | 1-2 @ 1.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 6.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |