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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
42.82% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() | 34.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.97% (![]() | 33.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.25% (![]() | 54.76% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% (![]() | 16.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% (![]() | 45.64% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% (![]() | 19.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.4% (![]() | 51.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 8.58% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |