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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Bayern logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Bayern

Bynoe-Gittens (27')
Ryerson (71'), Sahin (80'), Beier (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musiala (85')
Sane (88'), Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
42.82% (-2.546 -2.55) 22.36% (0.744 0.74) 34.82% (1.811 1.81)
Both teams to score 67.37% (-2.24 -2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (-3.165 -3.17)33.03% (3.175 3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (-3.732 -3.73)54.76% (3.742 3.74)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (-2.156 -2.16)16.17% (2.165 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (-4.086 -4.09)45.64% (4.096 4.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.583 -0.58)19.64% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (-0.967 -0.97)51.6% (0.976 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.82%
    Bayern Munich 34.82%
    Draw 22.36%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.543 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.378 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.454 0.45)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.746 0.75)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.539 0.54)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.82%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
21.9%
Draw
12.5%
Bayern Munich
65.6%
128
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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