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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 35.65% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35.65% ( 0.39) | 24.19% ( -0.12) | 40.16% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 60.58% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0.62) | 41.95% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0.62) | 64.36% ( -0.62) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.7% ( 0.51) | 23.3% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.76% ( 0.72) | 57.24% ( -0.72) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( 0.14) | 21.02% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( 0.21) | 53.81% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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