MX23RW : Friday, October 18 02:16:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz
vs.
RB Leipzig

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's impressive defensive record, with five clean sheets in six matches, makes them strong favourites to continue their unbeaten run and extend their commendable Bundesliga streak to 18 games without a loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 35.65% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
35.65% (0.393 0.39) 24.19% (-0.115 -0.12) 40.16% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.58% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.623 0.62)41.95% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (0.624 0.62)64.36% (-0.62 -0.62)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.50500000000001 0.51)23.3% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (0.724 0.72)57.24% (-0.72 -0.72)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.13900000000001 0.14)21.02% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (0.214 0.21)53.81% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.65%
    RB Leipzig 40.16%
    Draw 24.18%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.075 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.16%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz and RB Leipzig?

Mainz 05
Draw
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
RB Leipzig
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Mainz
Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81


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