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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
vs.
AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We say: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

After a dull goalless draw in the league earlier this season - and an eventful encounter in the Supercoppa Italiana - it might be a one-goal game on Saturday. Both sides have several flaws - as evidenced by their modest placing in the table - but Juve's solid defence can frustrate most teams, and they may finally hang on to a lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 33.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
40.28% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 25.74% (0.073 0.07) 33.98% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.345 -0.34)49.34% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.309 -0.31)71.39% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.2% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)58.53% (0.159 0.16)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.261 -0.26)27.75% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.336 -0.34)63.32% (0.33600000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 40.28%
    AC Milan 33.98%
    Draw 25.74%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.98%

Who will win Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan?

Juventus
Draw
AC Milan
Juventus
59.3%
Draw
16.9%
AC Milan
23.7%
59
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2025 7pm
Semi-Finals
Juventus
1-2
AC Milan
Yildiz (21')
McKennie (45+1')
Pulisic (71' pen.), Gatti (75' og.)
Emerson (79'), Pulisic (82')
Nov 23, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (26'), Emerson (67'), Fofana (69')
Gatti (27'), Locatelli (87')
Apr 27, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Juventus
0-0
AC Milan
Musah (45+1')
Oct 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
0-1
Juventus

Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
(Aggregate 2-2 | Juventus win 0-0 on penalties)
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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