MX23RW : Monday, March 10 13:23:52| >> :60:789:789:
Aston Villa logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Bayern logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran scores his fifth goal of the season from the bench to help Aston Villa claim a memorable 1-0 Champions League win over Bayern Munich at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
22.61% (1.966 1.97) 19.73% (0.81 0.81) 57.65% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-1.336 -1.34)28.97% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-1.653 -1.65)49.93% (1.655 1.66)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.774 0.77)24.94% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.059 1.06)59.57% (-1.058 -1.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (-1.056 -1.06)10.16% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-2.475 -2.47)33.4% (2.476 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.61%
    Bayern Munich 57.65%
    Draw 19.73%
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.44% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.188 0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bayern

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
70.5%
545
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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