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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
48.47% ( -4.19) | 23.22% ( 1.24) | 28.31% ( 2.95) |
Both teams to score 60.66% ( -1.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.6% ( -3.47) | 40.4% ( 3.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.22% ( -3.67) | 62.77% ( 3.67) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.09% ( -2.72) | 16.9% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.04% ( -5.06) | 46.95% ( 5.06) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.28) | 26.99% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.37) | 62.34% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.56) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.35) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.58) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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