MX23RW : Friday, May 24 01:27:06| >> :600:113922:113922:
PSG logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Real Sociedad logo

PSG
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe and Bradley Barcola score the goals as Paris Saint-Germain record a 2-0 victory over Real Sociedad in the first leg of their last-16 Champions League clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawReal Sociedad
55.51% (0.055 0.05) 23.35% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (0.097999999999999 0.1)47.77% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (0.091000000000001 0.09)69.96% (-0.089000000000013 -0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.057000000000002 0.06)17.05% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)47.21% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (0.030999999999999 0.03)36.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.7% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.51%
    Real Sociedad 21.13%
    Draw 23.35%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 55.51%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: PSG vs Real Sociedad

Paris Saint-Germain
82.1%
Draw
10.1%
Real Sociedad
7.8%
385
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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