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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Millwall

Hutchinson (71' og.)
Klose (43'), Semenyo (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Cooper (53'), Wallace (57'), McNamara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Millwall

Bristol City's record suggests there should certainly be goals in Saturday's contest, and with home advantage and confidence from an Ashton Gate victory in midweek, we see them edging the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
41.63% (-0.139 -0.14) 27.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 31.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.206 0.21)55.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.167 0.17)76.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.23400000000001 0.23)32.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.26 0.26)69.36% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.63%
    Millwall 31.21%
    Draw 27.14%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Millwall
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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