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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
44.17% (-0.53 -0.53) 26.56% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.28% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.826 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.88 0.88)54.21% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.731 0.73)75.62% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.129 0.13)24.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.178 0.18)58.83% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.98599999999999 0.99)33.41% (-0.97900000000001 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (1.064 1.06)70.04% (-1.058 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 44.17%
    Bristol City 29.28%
    Draw 26.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Bristol City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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