Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.