Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.59%) and 3-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.