Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians3 - 1Juventude
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Corinthians 1-0 Juventude (Corinthians advances on penalties)
Corinthians have been in this position many times recently at this tournament, and that experience should allow them to maintain their composure against a Juve side in unfamiliar territory at the Copa do Brasil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Juventude |
55.41% ( -0.04) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 21% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
