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Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Independiente del Valle

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Independiente

Rios (36'), Gomez (45+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diaz (64')
Caicedo (30'), Landazuri (44')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawIndependiente del Valle
64.55% (0.126 0.13) 20.54% (-0.07 -0.07) 14.91% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.192 0.19)45.59% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.184 0.18)67.91% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (0.095999999999989 0.1)13.38% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.196 0.2)40.28% (-0.198 -0.2)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.040000000000006 0.04)42.93% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.034000000000002 0.03)79.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 64.54%
    Independiente del Valle 14.91%
    Draw 20.54%
PalmeirasDrawIndependiente del Valle
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.79% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.54%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.91%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Independiente
2-3
Palmeiras
Paez (12'), Hoyos (38')
Hoyos (16'), Ortiz (74'), Caicedo (76')
Endrick (45+2'), Lazaro (81'), Guilherme (90+5')
Vanderlan (80'), Rios (90+1')
May 12, 2021 1.30am
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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