Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Caracas0 - 1Puerto Cabello
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Caracas and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-1 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 8 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 8 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caracas | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
52.31% ( -0.26) | 26.18% ( 0.04) | 21.51% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.07) | 58.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.05) | 78.8% ( -0.05) |
| Caracas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.08) | 22.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.12) | 55.83% ( 0.12) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( 0.27) | 42.45% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.18% ( 0.23) | 78.82% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Caracas 52.31%
Academia Puerto Cabello 21.51%
Draw 26.18%
| Caracas | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.51% |
