Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Sao Paulo2 - 0Puerto Cabello
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Academia Puerto Cabello.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-2 Tolima
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.49%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
70.33% ( 0.23) | 19.35% ( -0.12) | 10.32% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.92% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.19) | 51.06% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( 0.16) | 72.91% ( -0.16) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( 0.13) | 13.35% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.25) | 40.22% ( -0.24) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0.09) | 53.93% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.77% ( -0.06) | 87.23% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 70.32%
Academia Puerto Cabello 10.32%
Draw 19.35%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 2-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.35% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 10.32% |
