Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Union La Calera2 - 1Nublense
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vargas (90+4' pen.)
Campusano (90+3')
Campusano (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Union La Calera and Nublense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nublense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.
Result | ||
Union La Calera | Draw | Nublense |
45.48% | 26.89% | 27.64% |
Both teams to score 48.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% | 56.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.71% | 77.29% |
Union La Calera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% | 24.67% |