Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
